Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viktoria Plzen win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Viktoria Plzen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 1-2 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Viktoria Plzen would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.01) 
