Potential new EL header

Europa League

Europa League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 11, 2024 at 6pm UK
Boras Arena

Elfsborg
3 - 0
Pafos

Zeneli (9'), Hult (59'), Frick (82')
Ouma (12'), Baldursson (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Melluso (26'), Jairo (38')
Melluso (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Elfsborg and Pafos FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Elfsborg

All competitions
Last Game: Elfsborg 3-0 Brommapojkarna
Saturday, July 6 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Pafos FC

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 56.14%. A win for Pafos FC had a probability of 22.58% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.94%) and 1-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Pafos FC win was 1-2 (5.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.

Result
ElfsborgDrawPafos FC
56.14% (0.020000000000003 0.02)21.29% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)22.58% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 61.46% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.34% (0.021000000000001 0.02)36.66% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.18% (0.023000000000003 0.02)58.81% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Elfsborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.98% (0.012999999999991 0.01)13.02% (-0.013 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.43% (0.026999999999994 0.03)39.57% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Pafos FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)29.33% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)65.31% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Elfsborg 56.14%
    Pafos FC 22.58%
    Draw 21.29%
ElfsborgDrawPafos FC
2-1 @ 9.73%
2-0 @ 7.94%
1-0 @ 7.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 6.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.39% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 4.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.75% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 2.07% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-1 @ 1.37% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 56.14%
1-1 @ 9.55% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 5.97%
0-0 @ 3.82% (-0.004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.29%
1-2 @ 5.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 4.69% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 2.87% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 2.44%
1-3 @ 2.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 22.58%

How you voted: Elfsborg vs Pafos

Elfsborg
78.4%
Draw
10.8%
Pafos FC
10.8%
74
Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Elfsborg