Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Maccabi Tel Aviv had a probability of 37.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.21%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.