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Europa Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Feb 23, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Constant Vanden Stock
Ludogorets
Anderlecht
2 - 1
Ludogorets
Russo (13' og.), Verschaeren (68')
Stroeykens (16'), Refaelov (57'), Arnstad (93'), Sardella (120+3')
FT
(aet)
Thiago (71')
Naressi (16'), Piotrowski (26'), Russo (56'), Pipa (84'), Tissera (90+7')
Piotrowski (97')
Anderlecht win 3-0 on penalties
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Anderlecht and Ludogorets Razgrad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ludogorets 1-0 Anderlecht
Thursday, February 16 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We say: Anderlecht 2-0 Ludogorets Razgrad

Goals have been hard to come by for Anderlecht all season - and their potency has not been aided by the January departure of top scorer Fabio Silva - but we are backing the Belgian side to get two against what will almost certainly be a stubborn, but susceptible, low block from Ludogorets. Read more.
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Anderlecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Ludogorets Razgrad win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%).

Result
AnderlechtDrawLudogorets Razgrad
44.14% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 25.81% (0.0030000000000001 0) 30.06% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.08% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)50.86% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)72.74% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Anderlecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.04% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)22.96% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.26% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)56.74% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Ludogorets Razgrad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.9% (0.007000000000005 0.01)31.1% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.57% (0.009999999999998 0.01)67.43% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Anderlecht 44.13%
    Ludogorets Razgrad 30.06%
    Draw 25.8%
AnderlechtDrawLudogorets Razgrad
1-0 @ 10.5%
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.73% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.79% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.63% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 44.13%
1-1 @ 12.27%
0-0 @ 7.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.27%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 8.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 7.17% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 4.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.79% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.9% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 30.06%

How you voted: Anderlecht vs Ludogorets

Anderlecht
68.6%
Draw
14.0%
Ludogorets Razgrad
17.4%
86
Head to Head
Feb 16, 2023 8pm
Knockout Round Playoffs
Ludogorets
1-0
Anderlecht
Thiago (9')
Cafumana (69'), Despodov (90+3'), Padt (90+1')

Slimani (45+3'), Murillo (61'), Dreyer (81'), Riemer (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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