Utrecht
2 - 2
AZ
FT(HT: 1-0)
Koopmeiners (64' pen.), Stengs (83')
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ win with a probability of 42.87%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 33.05% | 24.08% | 42.87% |
| Both teams to score 60.29% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
