Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 64.62%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Jong PSV had a probability of 16.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 1-0 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a Jong PSV win it was 1-2 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for De Graafschap in this match.
