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DFB-Pokal | Round of 16
Dec 5, 2023 at 5pm UK
MDCC-Arena
Fortuna Dusseldorf logo

Magdeburg
1 - 2
Dusseldorf

Atik (15')
Elfadli (53'), Atik (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Niemiec (87', 90+2')
Siebert (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Magdeburg and Fortuna Dusseldorf, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Magdeburg 4-1 Kaiserslautern
Saturday, December 2 at 7.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

We said: Magdeburg 1-2 Fortuna Dusseldorf

Both sides will fancy their chances of progressing from this match, but Magdeburg's recent home form has been slightly disappointing, and we are expecting Fortuna to edge a close match in order to progress to the quarter-finals of the competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Magdeburg win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 38.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Magdeburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.42%) and 3-1 (4.81%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Fortuna Dusseldorf in this match.

Result
MagdeburgDrawFortuna Dusseldorf
39.61% (-0.105 -0.11) 22.35% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 38.04% (0.116 0.12)
Both teams to score 67.98% (0.048999999999992 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.55% (0.060000000000002 0.06)32.44% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.92% (0.07 0.07)54.08% (-0.07 -0.07)
Magdeburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.78% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)17.21% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.5% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)47.5% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.11% (0.076999999999998 0.08)17.88% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.33% (0.13200000000001 0.13)48.66% (-0.131 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Magdeburg 39.61%
    Fortuna Dusseldorf 38.04%
    Draw 22.35%
MagdeburgDrawFortuna Dusseldorf
2-1 @ 8.2% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-0 @ 5.42% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.81% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.77% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.14%
3-0 @ 2.79% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.12% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.82% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.23% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 39.61%
1-1 @ 9.32% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 7.06% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 3.08% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.38% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 22.35%
1-2 @ 8.02% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.3% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
1-3 @ 4.6% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.56% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 4.05% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.62% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.98% (0.012 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.74% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.0079999999999998 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.02% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 38.04%

How you voted: Magdeburg vs Dusseldorf

Magdeburg
30.0%
Draw
20.0%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
50.0%
20
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 18
Dusseldorf
3-2
Magdeburg
Kownacki (9', 34'), Appelkamp (84')
Kwarteng (6', 59')
Jul 16, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 1
Magdeburg
1-2
Dusseldorf
Krempicki (50')
Muller (60'), Titz (61')
Hennings (43' pen.), Klaus (46')
Gavory (48'), Hennings (62')
rhs 2.0
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