Cruzeiro
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 15, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto

Cruzeiro
2 - 1
Palestino

Bolasie (69', 69'), Barbosa (90', 90')
William (43'), William (43'), Kenji Takamura Correa (50'), Kenji Takamura Correa (50'), Barbosa (73'), Barbosa (73')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Martinez (7', 7')
Abrigo (49'), Abrigo (49'), Zuniga (58'), Zuniga (58'), Benitez (76'), Benitez (76')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Cruzeiro and Palestino.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Sport 0-4 Cruzeiro
Sunday, May 11 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Palestino

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Union 1-2 Palestino
Wednesday, May 7 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 60.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Palestino had a probability of 17.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Palestino win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruzeiro would win this match.

Result
CruzeiroDrawPalestino
60.38% (-0.302 -0.3)21.67% (0.084 0.08)17.95% (0.22 0.22)
Both teams to score 52.39% (0.14700000000001 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.96% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)45.04% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.61% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)67.39% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.53% (-0.09899999999999 -0.1)14.48% (0.102 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.55% (-0.193 -0.19)42.45% (0.195 0.2)
Palestino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.25% (0.247 0.25)38.75% (-0.244 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.52% (0.234 0.23)75.48% (-0.229 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Cruzeiro 60.37%
    Palestino 17.95%
    Draw 21.66%
CruzeiroDrawPalestino
1-0 @ 10.83% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 10.47% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 6.75% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.4% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.26% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.09% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.47%
5-0 @ 1.26% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.2% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 60.37%
1-1 @ 10.27% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.61% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.71% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.66%
0-1 @ 5.32% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.87% (0.05 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.52% (0.035 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.54% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.49% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 17.95%

Head to Head
Apr 25, 2025 1.30am
Group Stage
Palestino
2-1
Cruzeiro
Suarez (40'), Arias (86')
Marabel (90+5'), Meza (90+3')
Eduardo (83')
rhs 2.0
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> Premier League Full Table


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