CONCACAF Nations League | League A

Sep 6, 2024 at 1am UK

Estadio Nacional de Costa Rica

Costa Rica
3 - 0
Guadeloupe

Calvo (49', 49'), Lassiter (76', 76'), Madrigal (81', 81')
Calvo (19'), Calvo (19')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Roussillon (88'), Roussillon (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Costa Rica and Guadeloupe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Costa Rica

All competitions

Last Game: Costa Rica 2-1 Paraguay
Wednesday, July 3 at 2am in Copa America

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Colombia	3	4	7
2	Brazil	3	3	5
3	Costa Rica	3	-2	4
4	Paraguay	3	-5	0

Guadeloupe

All competitions

Last Game: Guadeloupe 5-0 Saint Kitts
Sunday, November 19 at 7pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League B Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Saint Kitts and Nevis	0	0	0
2	Saint Lucia	0	0	0
3	Guadeloupe	0	0	0
4	Sint Maarten	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guadeloupe win with a probability of 50.75%. A win for Costa Rica had a probability of 24.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guadeloupe win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.58%) and 0-2 (8.96%). The likeliest Costa Rica win was 1-0 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Costa Rica in this match.

Result
Costa Rica	Draw	Guadeloupe
24.7% ( -0.86)	24.54% ( 0.22)	50.75% ( 0.63)

Both teams to score 52.96% (

-1.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.92% (

-1.66)

49.08% (

1.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.84% (

-1.52)

71.15% (

1.52)

Costa Rica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.66% (

-1.62)

34.34% (

1.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.95% (

-1.76)

71.05% (

1.76)

Guadeloupe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.65% (

-0.39)

19.34% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.88% (

-0.65)

51.12% (

0.65)

Score Analysis

Costa Rica 24.7%

Guadeloupe 50.75%

Draw 24.54%

Costa Rica	Draw	Guadeloupe
1-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.18% Total : 24.7%	1-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.23) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.54%	0-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.6) 1-2 @ 9.58% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.96% ( 0.38) 1-3 @ 5.25% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 4.91% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.01% Total : 50.75%