Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

We said: Costa Rica 0-0 Paraguay

Both sides have played conservatively throughout this tournament because they have little creativity or quality to break down the other. The Costa Ricans still have something to play for, but we do not believe they have the resources to find a way through Paraguay in this encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 40.26%. A win for Costa Rica had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Costa Rica win was 1-0 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Costa Rica	Draw	Paraguay
33.56% ( 1.12)	26.18% ( 0.28)	40.26% ( -1.4)

Both teams to score 53.22% (

-0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.71% (

-0.89)

51.28% (

0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.88% (

-0.78)

73.11% (

0.78)

Costa Rica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.03% (

0.28)

28.96% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.15% (

0.35)

64.85% (

-0.35)

Paraguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.91% (

-1.12)

25.08% (

1.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.22% (

-1.57)

59.77% (

1.57)

Score Analysis

Costa Rica 33.56%

Paraguay 40.25%

Draw 26.17%

Costa Rica	Draw	Paraguay
1-0 @ 9% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.58% Total : 33.56%	1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.17%	0-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.61% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.55% Total : 40.25%