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World Cup

Costa Rica national football team
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round
Jun 7, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Estadio Nacional de Costa Rica
Saint Kitts and Nevis national football team

Costa Rica
4 - 0
Saint Kitts

Galo (40', 40', 49', 49'), Alcocer (82', 82'), Rojas (84', 84')
Brenes (58'), Brenes (58')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Sterling-James (26'), Sterling-James (26'), Ible (45+4'), Ible (45+4'), Maynard (63'), Maynard (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Costa Rica and Saint Kitts and Nevis, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Costa Rica

All competitions
Last Game: Costa Rica 0-0 Uruguay
Saturday, June 1 at 3am in International Friendlies

Saint Kitts and Nevis

All competitions
Last Game: San Marino 0-0 Saint Kitts
Sunday, March 24 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 53.23%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Saint Kitts and Nevis had a probability of 22.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win it was 0-1 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Costa Rica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Costa Rica.

Result
Costa RicaDrawSaint Kitts and Nevis
53.23% (0.252 0.25)23.91% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)22.85% (-0.242 -0.24)
Both teams to score 52.87% (-0.259 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.81% (-0.2 -0.2)48.18% (0.199 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.66% (-0.185 -0.18)70.34% (0.184 0.18)
Costa Rica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.96% (0.019000000000005 0.02)18.04% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.06% (0.033000000000001 0.03)48.93% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Saint Kitts and Nevis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.5% (-0.33200000000001 -0.33)35.49% (0.331 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.74% (-0.344 -0.34)72.26% (0.34299999999999 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Costa Rica 53.23%
    Saint Kitts and Nevis 22.86%
    Draw 23.9%
Costa RicaDrawSaint Kitts and Nevis
1-0 @ 10.96% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.39% (0.09 0.09)
3-1 @ 5.55% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.36% (0.055 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.38% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 2.3% (0.025 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 53.23%
1-1 @ 11.35%
0-0 @ 6.4% (0.052 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.9%
0-1 @ 6.63% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.88% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.44% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.03% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 22.86%

How you voted: Costa Rica vs Saint Kitts

Costa Rica
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
Saint Kitts and Nevis
0.0%
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