Copa America | Group Stage

Jun 28, 2024 at 11pm UK

University of Phoenix Stadium

Colombia
vs.
Costa Rica

Preview

Data Analysis

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa America clash between Colombia and Costa Rica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colombia

All competitions

Copa America

Last Game: Colombia 2-1 Paraguay
Monday, June 24 at 11pm in Copa America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Costa Rica

All competitions

Copa America

Last Game: Brazil 0-0 Costa Rica
Tuesday, June 25 at 2am in Copa America

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Colombia	1	1	3
2	Brazil	1	0	1
3	Costa Rica	1	0	1
4	Paraguay	1	-1	0

We say: Colombia 2-0 Costa Rica

Costa Rica have proven they can defend, but could be facing relentless pressure once again on Friday, and eventually fatigue may set in for Los Ticos against another strong attacking side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Colombia win with a probability of 54.77%. A draw has a probability of 23.2% and a win for Costa Rica has a probability of 22.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Costa Rica win it is 0-1 (6.12%).

Result
Colombia	Draw	Costa Rica
54.77% ( 0.61)	23.17% ( -0.2)	22.06% ( -0.41)

Both teams to score 54.21% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.09% (

0.39)

45.91% (

-0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.78% (

0.37)

68.22% (

-0.37)

Colombia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.36% (

0.36)

16.65% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.51% (

0.64)

46.49% (

-0.64)

Costa Rica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.03% (

-0.17)

34.97% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.29% (

-0.17)

71.71% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Colombia 54.76%

Costa Rica 22.06%

Draw 23.17%

Colombia	Draw	Costa Rica
1-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.88% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.12% Total : 54.76%	1-1 @ 10.96% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.17%	0-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.02% Total : 22.06%