Zambia national football team
COSAFA Cup | Group Stage | 2nd Leg
Jun 6, 2025 at 5pm UK
Konkola Stadium
Comoros national football team

Zambia
0 - 1
Comoros


(40'), (65'), (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Madi (31')
Ahmed (16'), Youssouf (53'), Alfonsi Ahmed (90+12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's COSAFA Cup clash between Zambia and Comoros, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zambia

All competitions
Last Game: Russia 5-0 Zambia
Tuesday, March 25 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Zambia vs. Sudan
Friday, June 6 at 1am in International Friendlies

Comoros

All competitions
Last Game: Comoros 1-0 Chad
Tuesday, March 25 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Zambia win with a probability of 40.14%. A draw has a probability of 30.1% and a win for Comoros has a probability of 29.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.14%) and 2-1 (7.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.39%), while for a Comoros win it is 0-1 (11.84%).

Result
ZambiaDrawComoros
40.14% (2.044 2.04)30.08% (-0.252 -0.25)29.78% (-1.792 -1.79)
Both teams to score 41.02% (0.112 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34% (0.384 0.38)66% (-0.384 -0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.42% (0.263 0.26)84.58% (-0.264 -0.26)
Zambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.73% (1.468 1.47)32.27% (-1.469 -1.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.23% (1.626 1.63)68.77% (-1.626 -1.63)
Comoros Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.56% (-1.175 -1.18)39.43% (1.175 1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.87% (-1.112 -1.11)76.13% (1.112 1.11)
Score Analysis
    Zambia 40.13%
    Comoros 29.78%
    Draw 30.07%
ZambiaDrawComoros
1-0 @ 14.39% (0.37 0.37)
2-0 @ 8.14% (0.52 0.52)
2-1 @ 7.57% (0.253 0.25)
3-0 @ 3.07% (0.309 0.31)
3-1 @ 2.86% (0.204 0.2)
3-2 @ 1.33% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 40.13%
1-1 @ 13.39% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 12.72% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-2 @ 3.52% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 30.07%
0-1 @ 11.84% (-0.56 -0.56)
1-2 @ 6.23% (-0.243 -0.24)
0-2 @ 5.51% (-0.449 -0.45)
1-3 @ 1.93% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-3 @ 1.71% (-0.199 -0.2)
2-3 @ 1.09% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 29.78%

Head to Head
Jul 2, 2024 11am
Group Stage
Comoros
1-0
Zambia
Youssouf (61')
Youssouf (61'), Alfonsi Ahmed (71'), Djambae (78'), Sadad (90+4')

Banda (23'), Mwamba (29'), Tembo (71')
Sep 9, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
Comoros
1-1
Zambia
Youssouf (45')
Daka (71')
> Preview
Jul 9, 2023 2pm
Group Stage
Zambia
2-1
Comoros
Mulambia (51'), Kangwanda (74')
Chishimba (41'), James Phiri (87')
Djambae (67')
Youssouf (45+2'), Youssouf (45+2'), Faidine (54'), Boina Bacar (76'), James Phiri (87')
Youssouf (77'), Youssouf (77')
Jun 7, 2022 5pm
Group Stage
Zambia
2-1
Comoros
Mwepu (45+2'), Kangwa (88')
Mwape (2'), Mayembe (67'), Kangwa (89')
Fardou Ben (13')
M'Dahoma (40'), Zahary (45'), Mohamed (84')
> Preview
Jul 7, 2021 2pm
Group Stage
Zambia
P-P
Comoros