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Africa Cup of Nations

Chad national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 15, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Omnisport Ahmadou Ahidjo
Zambia national football team

Chad
0 - 1
Zambia


Tchouplaou (56')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Musonda (70')
Kampamba (80'), Sabobo Banda (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Chad and Zambia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chad

Last Game: Zambia 0-0 Chad
Friday, October 11 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Zambia

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Zambia 0-0 Chad
Friday, October 11 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 59.22%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Chad had a probability of 15.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.18%) and 1-2 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Chad win it was 1-0 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 16.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Zambia in this match.

Result
ChadDrawZambia
15.64% (-0.535 -0.53)25.14% (-0.564 -0.56)59.22% (1.1 1.1)
Both teams to score 38.49% (0.333 0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.69% (1.037 1.04)61.3% (-1.037 -1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.78% (0.767 0.77)81.22% (-0.767 -0.77)
Chad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.59% (-0.114 -0.11)51.41% (0.112 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.38% (-0.077 -0.08)85.62% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Zambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.21% (0.86799999999999 0.87)20.79% (-0.868 -0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.55% (1.347 1.35)53.44% (-1.347 -1.35)
Score Analysis
    Chad 15.64%
    Zambia 59.21%
    Draw 25.13%
ChadDrawZambia
1-0 @ 7.11% (-0.305 -0.31)
2-1 @ 3.72% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-0 @ 2.37% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 15.64%
1-1 @ 11.17% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-0 @ 10.68% (-0.43 -0.43)
2-2 @ 2.92% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 16.78% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-2 @ 13.18% (0.18 0.18)
1-2 @ 8.77% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
0-3 @ 6.9% (0.274 0.27)
1-3 @ 4.59% (0.168 0.17)
0-4 @ 2.71% (0.176 0.18)
1-4 @ 1.8% (0.112 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.53% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 59.21%

How you voted: Chad vs Zambia

Chad
17.6%
Draw
11.8%
Zambia
70.6%
17
Head to Head
Oct 11, 2024 2pm
Group Stage
Zambia
0-0
Chad
Ngouyamsa (19'), Tchaouna (77'), Damba (80')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
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