Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 47.41%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosario Central would win this match.
