Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.66%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 (11.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Lorenzo would win this match.
