MX23RW : Thursday, August 22 00:02:06| >> :60:2433:2433:
Fortaleza
Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 21, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo

Fortaleza
3 - 1
Rosario

Martin Lucero (53'), Pikachu (78'), Sasha (90+2')
Pochettino (20'), Augusto (24'), Mallo (65'), Pikachu (79'), Andrade (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mallo (48')
Britez (65'), Ibarra (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Fortaleza and Rosario Central, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bragantino 1-2 Fortaleza
Saturday, August 17 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Independiente 1-0 Rosario
Saturday, August 17 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Fortaleza 1-0 Rosario Central (Fortaleza advance 2-1 on aggregate)

The Brazilians have a lot of momentum at home heading into this contest, and their recent experience in these must-win games should propel them to a narrow triumph. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fortaleza win with a probability of 63.02%. A draw has a probability of 22.9% and a win for Rosario Central has a probability of 14.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (13.45%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Rosario Central win it is 0-1 (6.01%).

Result
FortalezaDrawRosario Central
63.02% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 22.89% (-0.012 -0.01) 14.09% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Both teams to score 40.78% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.75% (0.055 0.05)56.25% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.71% (0.043999999999997 0.04)77.29% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.56% (0.021000000000001 0.02)17.44% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.11% (0.036999999999999 0.04)47.89% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.4% (0.045000000000002 0.05)50.6% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.93% (0.031000000000001 0.03)85.07% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 63.01%
    Rosario Central 14.09%
    Draw 22.88%
FortalezaDrawRosario Central
1-0 @ 15.41% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 13.45% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.84%
3-1 @ 5.34% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.42% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.33% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.82% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 63.01%
1-1 @ 10.49%
0-0 @ 8.82% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.88%
0-1 @ 6.01% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 3.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.05% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 14.09%

How you voted: Fortaleza vs Rosario

Fortaleza
93.3%
Draw
6.7%
Rosario Central
0.0%
45
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2024 11pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Rosario
1-1
Fortaleza
Sandez (6')
Mallo (44'), Quintana (45+4'), Modica (87'), Campaz (90')
Marinho (2')
Britez (36'), Rossetto (43'), Cardona (45+1'), Augusto (87')
rhs 2.0
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