MX23RW : Thursday, August 22 14:06:20| >> :600:157115:157115:
Palmeiras
Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 22, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Allianz Parque
Botafogo logo

Palmeiras
2 - 2
Botafogo

Manuel Lopez (86'), Rony (90')
Rios (35')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Jesus (56'), Savarino (64')
Barboza (35'), Gregore (45+3'), John (81'), Ponte (89'), Tche (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Palmeiras and Botafogo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Botafogo 4-1 Flamengo
Sunday, August 18 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

We said: Palmeiras 1-0 Botafogo (Palmeiras advance on penalties)

Given the stakes, we expect the desperation and experience of Palmeiras will be just enough to advance them into the next round, in what promises to be a tense affair on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 54.07%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 20.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
PalmeirasDrawBotafogo
54.07% (-0.903 -0.9) 25.06% (0.461 0.46) 20.87% (0.449 0.45)
Both teams to score 46.89% (-0.675 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.19% (-1.219 -1.22)54.81% (1.224 1.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.89% (-1.02 -1.02)76.11% (1.024 1.02)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.75% (-0.83199999999999 -0.83)20.26% (0.837 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.4% (-1.351 -1.35)52.6% (1.355 1.36)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.8% (-0.227 -0.23)41.21% (0.23200000000001 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.26% (-0.202 -0.2)77.74% (0.206 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 54.07%
    Botafogo 20.87%
    Draw 25.06%
PalmeirasDrawBotafogo
1-0 @ 13.32% (0.28 0.28)
2-0 @ 10.64% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-0 @ 5.66% (-0.175 -0.18)
3-1 @ 5.02% (-0.188 -0.19)
4-0 @ 2.26% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.098 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2% (-0.13 -0.13)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 54.07%
1-1 @ 11.81% (0.18 0.18)
0-0 @ 8.35% (0.389 0.39)
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 25.06%
0-1 @ 7.4% (0.301 0.3)
1-2 @ 5.24% (0.048 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.28% (0.113 0.11)
1-3 @ 1.55% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.24% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 0.97% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 20.87%

How you voted: Palmeiras vs Botafogo

Palmeiras
74.4%
Draw
15.4%
Botafogo
10.3%
39
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2024 1.30am
Round of 16 1st Leg
Botafogo
2-1
Palmeiras
Henrique (22'), Jesus (39')
Jesus (49'), Cuiabano (64'), Tiquinho (90')
Mauricio (33')
Manuel Lopez (29'), Veiga (37'), Ferreira (65'), Willian (90')
Jul 18, 2024 1.30am
Gameweek 17
Botafogo
1-0
Palmeiras
Tiquinho (56')
Barboza (4'), Suarez (73')
Nov 2, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 31
Botafogo
3-4
Palmeiras
Eduardo (21'), Tche (30'), Santos (36')
Flavio (0'), Cuesta (33'), Tiquinho (69'), Tche (80'), Marcal (83'), Freitas (90+7'), Di Placido (90+9')
Adryelson (76')
Endrick (49', 84'), Manuel Lopez (89'), Cerqueira (90+9')
Mayke (11'), Rony (80'), Gomez (80'), Artur (87'), Cerqueira (90+10')
Jun 25, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 12
Palmeiras
0-1
Botafogo

Ferreira (45+7')
Tiquinho (28')
Tche (31'), da Silva (61'), Nascimento (90+5')
Oct 4, 2022 12am
Gameweek 29
Botafogo
1-3
Palmeiras
Tiquinho (20')
Scarpa (26' pen.), Mayke (36'), Dudu (60')
rhs 2.0
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