Copa Sudamericana | First Round | 2nd Leg
Mar 17, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero
America2 - 1Medellin
Medellin win 3-1 on penalties
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between America de Cali and Independiente Medellin.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: America 2-1 Medellin (1-3 pen.)
Thursday, March 17 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, March 17 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Medellin 1-1 Guairena
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for America de Cali had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.92%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest America de Cali win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%).
| Result | ||
| America de Cali | Draw | Independiente Medellin |
| 36.55% | 24.58% | 38.87% |
| Both teams to score 59.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
