Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Kitts and Nevis win with a probability of 68.48%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for British Virgin Islands had a probability of 12.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.92%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a British Virgin Islands win it was 1-0 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint Kitts and Nevis would win this match.
0.34) 
-0.58) 
