Sh. Shenhua

2 - 1

Changchun

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 72.43%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 11.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 3-0 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.5%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 1-2 (3.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.