Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.