Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 49.08%. A win for Royal Antwerp had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.01%) and 0-1 (5.97%). The likeliest Royal Antwerp win was 2-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.