Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 51.75%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 25.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Union SG win was 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.