Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 46.06%. A win for Charleroi had a probability of 29.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Charleroi win was 2-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.