Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 55.38%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Slutsk had a probability of 20.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Slutsk win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.