Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 30
Nov 30, 2024 at 11.10am UK
City Stadium

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1 - 0
Gomel

Myalkovskiy (36')
Lutik (43'), Poznyak (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Chagovets (2'), Matveichyk (13'), Antonio Evangelista da Silva Neto (20')
Chagovets (45+2')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Arsenal Dzerzhinsk and Gomel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

All competitions
Last Game: Naftan 0-0 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Sunday, November 24 at 10am in Belarusian Premier League

Gomel

All competitions
Last Game: Gomel 0-0 Slavia Mozyr
Sunday, November 24 at 3.30pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 0-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 1-0 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal DzerzhinskDrawGomel
32.47% (-0.764 -0.76)24.93% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)42.6% (0.852 0.85)
Both teams to score 57.06% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.84% (0.164 0.16)46.16% (-0.162 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.54% (0.154 0.15)68.46% (-0.152 -0.15)
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.85% (-0.39400000000001 -0.39)27.14% (0.395 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.46% (-0.517 -0.52)62.54% (0.52 0.52)
Gomel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.32% (0.47199999999999 0.47)21.67% (-0.47 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.18% (0.716 0.72)54.81% (-0.715 -0.71)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 32.47%
    Gomel 42.6%
    Draw 24.93%
Arsenal DzerzhinskDrawGomel
1-0 @ 7.67% (-0.139 -0.14)
2-1 @ 7.65% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-0 @ 5% (-0.149 -0.15)
3-1 @ 3.33% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.18% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 32.47%
1-1 @ 11.73% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.88% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.85% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.93%
0-1 @ 9% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.97% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
0-2 @ 6.88% (0.146 0.15)
1-3 @ 4.57% (0.111 0.11)
0-3 @ 3.51% (0.123 0.12)
2-3 @ 2.98% (0.039 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.75% (0.066 0.07)
0-4 @ 1.34% (0.065 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.14% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 42.6%

Head to Head
Jul 6, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 15
Gomel
5-0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Grishchenko (34'), Junior Effaghe (44', 83'), Nazarenko (80'), Yatskevich (88')
Pukhov (56')
Aug 7, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 16
Gomel
4-1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Baga (17'), Pantya (52'), Sedko (54'), Kozlovskiy (84')
Costrov (43'), Makas (45')
Matsiash (71')
Boudega (60'), Lyakh (90+3')
Mar 20, 2022 11am
Gameweek 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1-2
Gomel
Kiyko (80')
Khvalko (54')
Gogolashvili (44' pen.), Makas (56')
Kuchinski (22'), Adeola (84')
Sokol (67')