Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 15
Jul 6, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stadyen Central'ny

Gomel
5 - 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Grishchenko (34'), Junior Effaghe (44', 83'), Nazarenko (80'), Yatskevich (88')
Pukhov (56')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Gomel and Arsenal Dzerzhinsk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gomel

All competitions
Last Game: Slavia Mozyr 0-0 Gomel
Friday, June 28 at 5pm in Belarusian Premier League

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

All competitions
Last Game: Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 0-3 Naftan
Sunday, June 30 at 6pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gomel would win this match.

Result
GomelDrawArsenal Dzerzhinsk
40.62% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)26.51% (0.0020000000000024 0)32.87% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.98% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)52.79% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.58% (0.0020000000000024 0)74.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Gomel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.42% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)25.58% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.54% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)60.45% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.84% (0.012 0.01)30.15% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.69% (0.016000000000005 0.02)66.3% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Gomel 40.61%
    Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 32.87%
    Draw 26.5%
GomelDrawArsenal Dzerzhinsk
1-0 @ 10.51%
2-1 @ 8.59% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.17% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 3.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3.26% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.34%
4-1 @ 1.33% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 40.61%
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 7.71% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.15% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 9.25% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 7.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.02% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 32.87%

Head to Head
Aug 7, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 16
Gomel
4-1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Baga (17'), Pantya (52'), Sedko (54'), Kozlovskiy (84')
Costrov (43'), Makas (45')
Matsiash (71')
Boudega (60'), Lyakh (90+3')
Mar 20, 2022 11am
Gameweek 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1-2
Gomel
Kiyko (80')
Khvalko (54')
Gogolashvili (44' pen.), Makas (56')
Kuchinski (22'), Adeola (84')
Sokol (67')