World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Mar 20, 2025 at 9.10am UK

Australia
vs.
Indonesia

Boyle (18'), Velupillay (20'), Irvine (34', 90'), Miller (61')

FT(HT: 3-0)

ter Haar Romeny (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Australia and Indonesia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Australia

All competitions

Last Game: Australia 0-0 Saudi Arabia
Thursday, November 14 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: China vs. Australia
Tuesday, March 25 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

Indonesia

All competitions

Last Game: Indonesia 0-4 Japan
Friday, November 15 at 12pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: Indonesia vs. Bahrain
Tuesday, March 25 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 72.63%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Indonesia had a probability of 10.34%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.84%) and 3-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Indonesia win it was 0-1 (3.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Australia	Draw	Indonesia
72.63% ( -0.19)	17.02% ( 0.03)	10.34% ( 0.16)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Australia	Draw	Indonesia
2-0 @ 12.55% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 10.84% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 9.68% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.04) 6-0 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 3.4% Total : 72.62%	1-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.75% Total : 17.02%	0-1 @ 3.5% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.52% Total : 10.34%