Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 60.65%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Botswana had a probability of 14.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.9%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.3%), while for a Botswana win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tunisia would win this match.