World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage | 2nd Leg

Jun 11, 2025 at 1.45am UK

Neo Quimica Arena (Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo)

Brazil
1 - 0
Paraguay

(Paraguay win 4-2 on aggregate)

Junior (44')
Junior (28'), Guimaraes (45+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Alonso (6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Brazil and Paraguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Brazil could line up against Paraguay.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brazil

All competitions

Last Game: Argentina 4-1 Brazil
Wednesday, March 26 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Next Game: Ecuador vs. Brazil
Friday, June 6 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	14	18	31
2	Ecuador	14	8	26
3	Uruguay	14	7	21
4	Brazil	14	4	21
5	Paraguay	14	2	21
6	Colombia	14	4	20
7	Venezuela	14	-4	15
8	Bolivia	14	-16	14
9	Peru	14	-11	10
10	Chile	14	-12	10

Paraguay

All competitions

Last Game: Colombia 2-2 Paraguay
Wednesday, March 26 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Next Game: Paraguay vs. Uruguay
Friday, June 6 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	14	18	31
2	Ecuador	14	8	26
3	Uruguay	14	7	21
4	Brazil	14	4	21
5	Paraguay	14	2	21
6	Colombia	14	4	20
7	Venezuela	14	-4	15
8	Bolivia	14	-16	14
9	Peru	14	-11	10
10	Chile	14	-12	10

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Brazil win with a probability of 67.93%. A draw has a probability of 20.3% and a win for Paraguay has a probability of 11.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (13.85%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Paraguay win it is 0-1 (4.83%).

Result
Brazil	Draw	Paraguay
67.93% ( -0.43)	20.27% ( 0.25)	11.8% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 41.93% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.9% (

-0.51)

51.1% (

0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.04% (

-0.45)

72.96% (

0.45)

Brazil Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.92% (

-0.29)

14.08% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.31% (

-0.58)

41.69% (

0.58)

Paraguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.8% (

0.02)

51.2% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.52% (

0.02)

85.48% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Brazil 67.92%

Paraguay 11.8%

Draw 20.27%

Brazil	Draw	Paraguay
1-0 @ 14.13% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 13.85% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0) 3-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.23% Total : 67.92%	1-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 3.1% ( 0) Other @ 0.49% Total : 20.27%	0-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.19% Total : 11.8%