Bahrain
4 - 0
Hong Kong
Dhiya (49'), Hashim Issa (54' pen., 70'), Abdulatif (90' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Michel Afonso (81')
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahrain win with a probability of 50.3%. A win for Hong Kong had a probability of 25.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahrain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Hong Kong win was 1-2 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahrain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bahrain | Draw | Hong Kong |
| 50.3% | 23.76% | 25.95% |
| Both teams to score 56.75% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
