Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 90.13%. A draw had a probability of 7% and a win for Hong Kong had a probability of 2.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (10.68%) and 2-0 (10.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.27%), while for a Hong Kong win it was 1-2 (0.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.
