Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Cerro had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Cerro win was 0-1 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
