Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 7, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio 15 de Abril

Union
1 - 2
Palestino

Gamba (49')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Marabel (84', 88')
Martinez (63'), Zuniga (82')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Union and Palestino.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union 1-1 Belgrano
Friday, May 2 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Palestino 2-1 Cruzeiro
Friday, April 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 54.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Palestino had a probability of 20.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Palestino win it was 0-1 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
UnionDrawPalestino
54.95% (0.020000000000003 0.02)24.94% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)20.1% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 46.19% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.82% (0.019000000000005 0.02)55.17% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.58% (0.018999999999998 0.02)76.41% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.95% (0.013999999999996 0.01)20.05% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.73% (0.024999999999999 0.02)52.26% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Palestino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)42.23% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)78.63% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Score Analysis
    Union 54.95%
    Palestino 20.11%
    Draw 24.93%
UnionDrawPalestino
1-0 @ 13.6%
2-0 @ 10.93%
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 5.86% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 5.05% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-0 @ 2.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 2.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 54.95%
1-1 @ 11.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.47% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 24.93%
0-1 @ 7.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.06% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 3.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.45%
2-3 @ 1.17%
0-3 @ 0.9% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 20.11%

Head to Head
Apr 9, 2025 11pm
Group Stage
Palestino
2-0
Union
Carrasco (12' pen.), Marabel (90+6')
Meza (52'), Carrasco (68')

Gerometta (9'), Ham (10'), Martinez (90+5')
Ham (68')