Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 48.87%. A win for Parma had a probability of 26.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
