Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 72.15%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 10.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.24%) and 3-0 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (3.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Fiorentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 72.15% ( | 17.72% ( | 10.13% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.17% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.19% ( | 44.81% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.83% ( | 67.16% ( |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.97% ( | 11.03% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.66% ( | 35.34% ( |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.64% ( | 50.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.1% ( | 84.9% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 2-0 @ 13.49% 1-0 @ 12.24% ( 3-0 @ 9.92% ( 2-1 @ 9.26% 3-1 @ 6.81% ( 4-0 @ 5.47% ( 4-1 @ 3.75% ( 5-0 @ 2.41% ( 3-2 @ 2.33% ( 5-1 @ 1.65% ( 4-2 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 3.53% Total : 72.14% | 1-1 @ 8.4% ( 0-0 @ 5.55% ( 2-2 @ 3.18% Other @ 0.59% Total : 17.72% | 0-1 @ 3.81% ( 1-2 @ 2.88% ( 0-2 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 2.13% Total : 10.13% |