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Serie A | Gameweek 12
Nov 10, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Hellas Verona logo

Fiorentina
3 - 1
Hellas Verona

Kean (4', 59', 90+2')
Kean (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Serdar (18')
Coppola (35'), Serdar (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: APOEL 2-1 Fiorentina
Thursday, November 7 at 8pm in Conference League
Last Game: Hellas Verona 3-2 Roma
Sunday, November 3 at 5pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 72.15%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 10.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.24%) and 3-0 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (3.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Fiorentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.

Result
FiorentinaDrawHellas Verona
72.15% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)17.72% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)10.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 44.17% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.19% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)44.81% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.83% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)67.16% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.97% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)11.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.66% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)35.34% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.64% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)50.35% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.1% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)84.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 72.14%
    Hellas Verona 10.13%
    Draw 17.72%
FiorentinaDrawHellas Verona
2-0 @ 13.49%
1-0 @ 12.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.92% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 9.26%
3-1 @ 6.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 5.47% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 2.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.65% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 72.14%
1-1 @ 8.4% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 5.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.18%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 17.72%
0-1 @ 3.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 2.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 10.13%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Hellas Verona

Fiorentina
90.2%
Draw
6.6%
Hellas Verona
3.3%
61
Head to Head
May 5, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 35
Hellas Verona
2-1
Fiorentina
Lazovic (13' pen.), Noslin (59')
Coppola (46'), Folorunsho (79')
Dec 17, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 16
Fiorentina
1-0
Hellas Verona
Beltran (78')
Terracciano (2'), Biraghi (36'), Barak (65')

Dawidowicz (67')
Feb 27, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 24
Hellas Verona
0-3
Fiorentina
Barak (12'), Cabral (38'), Biraghi (89')
Sep 18, 2022 2pm
Mar 6, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 28
Fiorentina
1-1
Hellas Verona
Piatek (10')
Italiano (86')
Caprari (20' pen.)
Gunter (37'), Simeone (56'), Ceccherini (72'), Bessa (82')