Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 44.01%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 26.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.14%), while for a Real Zaragoza win it was 0-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.
