Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 37.31%. A win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 (11.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
