Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 36.71%. A win for Ponferradina had a probability of 32.16% and a draw had a probability of 31.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.37%) and 1-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Ponferradina win was 1-0 (13.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
