Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a UD Ibiza win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a UD Ibiza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.