Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huesca win with a probability of 48.68%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 21.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huesca win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.97%) and 2-1 (7.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.89%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Huesca would win this match.
