Seattle Sounders
MLS Playoffs | Regular Season
May 29, 2025 at 1.30am UK
CenturyLink Field

Seattle
1 - 0
San Diego

Ferreira (58', 58')
Rothrock (27'), Rothrock (27'), (84'), Kossa-Rienzi (84'), (84'), Kossa-Rienzi (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Verhoeven (81'), Verhoeven (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's MLS clash between Seattle Sounders and San Diego, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Seattle Sounders

All competitions
MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Seattle 1-0 Dallas
Saturday, May 24 at 8pm in MLS Playoffs

San Diego

All competitions
MLS Playoffs
Last Game: San Diego 2-1 LA Galaxy
Saturday, May 24 at 9.45pm in MLS Playoffs

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 72.4%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for San Diego had a probability of 11.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 3-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.68%), while for a San Diego win it was 1-2 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.

Result
Seattle SoundersDrawSan Diego
72.4% (-0.149 -0.15)16.45% (0.081000000000003 0.08)11.15% (0.072999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 52.62% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.26% (-0.18899999999999 -0.19)35.74% (0.192 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.18% (-0.21 -0.21)57.82% (0.213 0.21)
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.39% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)8.61% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.28% (-0.199 -0.2)29.72% (0.201 0.2)
San Diego Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.58% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)42.42% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.2% (-0.0029999999999966 -0)78.8% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Seattle Sounders 72.4%
    San Diego 11.15%
    Draw 16.45%
Seattle SoundersDrawSan Diego
2-0 @ 10.98% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 8.98% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.96% (0.051 0.05)
3-1 @ 7.7% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 5.5% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 4.72% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.7% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-1 @ 2.32% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.02% (-0.012 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.1% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-2 @ 0.99% (-0.009 -0.01)
6-1 @ 0.95% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 72.4%
1-1 @ 7.68% (0.043 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.04% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.65% (0.035 0.04)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 16.45%
1-2 @ 3.29% (0.018 0.02)
0-1 @ 3.13% (0.03 0.03)
0-2 @ 1.34% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 0.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 11.15%

How you voted: Seattle vs San Diego

Seattle Sounders
76.9%
Draw
23.1%
San Diego
0.0%
13
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2025 3.30am
San Diego
3-0
Seattle
Tverskov (2'), Godoy (41'), Lozano (45+3')
Negri (60'), de la Torre (64'), Mighten (80')

Leyva (68')
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