Aberdeen 1-1 Celtic - Scottish Premiership - February 3, 2024 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

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Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Aberdeen and Celtic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Miovski (50')
Shinnie (24'), McGrath (54'), Miovski (56')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kuhn (63')
Nawrocki (25')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberdeen

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Aberdeen 1-1 Dundee
Tuesday, January 30 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Celtic

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Celtic 1-0 Ross County
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Aberdeen will be hoping to start with a clean slate following the dismissal of Robson, but they could not have asked for a more difficult fixture to start a new era with. Celtic will sense an opposition devoid of confidence, and should take full advantage with a dominant display to extend their lead at the top to eight points before Rangers play. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 69.62%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Aberdeen had a probability of 13.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.98%), while for an Aberdeen win it was 2-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Aberdeen	Draw	Celtic
13.04% ( -0.43)	17.34% ( -0.22)	69.62% ( 0.66)

Both teams to score 55.64% (

-0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.06% (

0.01)

34.94% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.08% (

0.01)

56.92% (

-0.01)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.16% (

-0.62)

38.84% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.43% (

-0.59)

75.57% (

0.59)

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.97% (

0.15)

9.03% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.26% (

0.36)

30.74% (

-0.37)

Score Analysis

Aberdeen 13.04%

Celtic 69.61%

Draw 17.34%

Aberdeen	Draw	Celtic
2-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.76% Total : 13.04%	1-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 3.51% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.18% Total : 17.34%	0-2 @ 10.13% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 9.59% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 8.13% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 7.69% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 4.89% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 4.62% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.05) 0-5 @ 2.35% ( 0.08) 1-5 @ 2.22% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 2.19% ( -0.02) 2-5 @ 1.05% 0-6 @ 0.94% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.75% Total : 69.61%

How you voted: Aberdeen vs Celtic

Aberdeen

13.3%

Draw

6.7%

Celtic

80.0%

Head to Head

Nov 12, 2023 2.30pm

Gameweek 13

6-0

Yang (9'), Furuhashi (16'), Palma (77' pen.), Turnbull (90+2'), Oh (90+6', 90+9')

Hayes (15'), Rubezic (51'), Roos (76')

Aug 13, 2023 12pm

Gameweek 2

1-3

Miovski (25')

Abada (11'), Furuhashi (29'), O'Riley (84')
Turnbull (27'), McGregor (54')

May 27, 2023 12.30pm

Gameweek 38

5-0

Furuhashi (27', 32'), Starfelt (78'), Oh (82', 90')
Starfelt (42')

Watkins (37'), Shinnie (61')

Feb 18, 2023 3pm

Gameweek 26

4-0

McGregor (2'), Hatate (13', 76'), Abada (89')

Dec 17, 2022 12.30pm

Gameweek 17

0-1

McGregor (87')