Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 42.45%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-0 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.