Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 54.37%. A win for Al Shabab had a probability of 22.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Al Shabab win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.