San Jose Earthquakes
MLS Playoffs | Regular Season
May 15, 2025 at 3.30am UK
Earthquakes Stadium
Inter Miami

Earthquakes
3 - 3
Inter Miami

Arango (3', 3'), Leroux (37', 37'), Harkes (45+4', 45+4')
Costa (45+7'), Costa (45+7'), Bouda (66'), Bouda (66'), (73'), Romney (73')
FT(HT: 6-4)
Falcon (1', 1'), Allende (44', 44', 52', 52')
(74'), Allen (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's MLS Playoffs clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions
Last Game: Colorado 0-2 Earthquakes
Sunday, May 11 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Inter Miami

All competitions
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 4-1 Inter Miami
Saturday, May 10 at 9.30pm in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 43.94%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.9%) and 2-0 (5.44%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawInter Miami
43.94% (0.011000000000003 0.01)22.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)33.75% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Both teams to score 67.17% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.85% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)33.15% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.11% (0.009999999999998 0.01)54.89% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.2% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)15.8% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.05% (0.013000000000005 0.01)44.95% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.77%20.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.44% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)52.56% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 43.94%
    Inter Miami 33.75%
    Draw 22.32%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawInter Miami
2-1 @ 8.7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 5.9% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.44%
3-1 @ 5.35% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 4.27% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 3.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.47% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.97% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.54% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 1.05% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 43.94%
1-1 @ 9.43% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-2 @ 6.95%
0-0 @ 3.2% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 2.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 22.32%
1-2 @ 7.53% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 5.11% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 4.08% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.01% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-3 @ 3.7%
0-3 @ 2.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.6%
2-4 @ 1.48%
3-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 33.75%

How you voted: Earthquakes vs Inter Miami

San Jose Earthquakes
35.0%
Draw
5.0%
Inter Miami
60.0%
20
Head to Head
Aug 4, 2022 3.30am
Earthquakes
0-1
Inter Miami
> Preview
Apr 18, 2020 8.30pm
Gameweek 10
Inter Miami
P-P
Earthquakes