Russia national football team
Friendlies 1 | 2nd Leg
Jun 6, 2025 at 6pm UK
RZD Arena
Nigeria national football team

Russia
1 - 1
Nigeria

Ajayi (27' og.)
Osipenko (19'), Glebov (84'), Batrakov (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Arokodare (71')
Onyemaechi (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Russia and Nigeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Russia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Russia 5-0 Zambia
Tuesday, March 25 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Nigeria

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Jamaica 2-2 Nigeria
Saturday, May 31 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Russia win with a probability of 68.19%. A draw has a probability of 18.6% and a win for Nigeria has a probability of 13.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Russia win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Nigeria win it is 0-1 (3.96%).

Result
RussiaDrawNigeria
68.19% (-1.277 -1.28)18.59% (0.408 0.41)13.22% (0.87 0.87)
Both teams to score 51.48% (1.231 1.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.44% (0.27200000000001 0.27)40.56% (-0.272 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.06% (0.278 0.28)62.94% (-0.27800000000001 -0.28)
Russia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.11% (-0.251 -0.25)10.89% (0.252 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.97% (-0.562 -0.56)35.03% (0.562 0.56)
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.77% (1.541 1.54)42.23% (-1.54 -1.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.36% (1.301 1.3)78.63% (-1.301 -1.3)
Score Analysis
    Russia 68.18%
    Nigeria 13.22%
    Draw 18.59%
RussiaDrawNigeria
2-0 @ 11.3% (-0.38 -0.38)
1-0 @ 10.19% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.087999999999999 0.09)
3-0 @ 8.36% (-0.375 -0.38)
3-1 @ 7.2% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.63% (-0.26 -0.26)
4-1 @ 3.99% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.125 0.13)
5-0 @ 2.06% (-0.138 -0.14)
5-1 @ 1.77% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.72% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 68.18%
1-1 @ 8.79% (0.171 0.17)
0-0 @ 4.6% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.2% (0.211 0.21)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 18.59%
0-1 @ 3.96% (0.117 0.12)
1-2 @ 3.79% (0.228 0.23)
0-2 @ 1.71% (0.119 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.21% (0.108 0.11)
1-3 @ 1.09% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 13.22%

rhs 2.0


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