Real Salt Lake
MLS Playoffs | Regular Season
May 15, 2025 at 2.30am UK
Rio Tinto Stadium
Portland Timbers

Salt Lake
0 - 0
Portland


Davis (21'), Davis (21'), Caliskan (64'), Caliskan (64'), Luna (69'), Luna (69')
FT

Paredes (46'), Paredes (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's MLS Playoffs clash between Real Salt Lake and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Salt Lake

All competitions
Last Game: Dallas 1-1 Salt Lake
Sunday, May 11 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Portland Timbers

All competitions
Last Game: Portland 1-0 Kansas
Sunday, May 11 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 57%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 21.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 1-2 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Real Salt LakeDrawPortland Timbers
57% (-0.16 -0.16)21.63% (0.041 0.04)21.37% (0.119 0.12)
Both teams to score 58.44% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.16% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)39.83% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.81% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)62.19% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.19% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)13.81% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.85% (-0.11000000000001 -0.11)41.15% (0.112 0.11)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.8% (0.099000000000004 0.1)32.19% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.31% (0.113 0.11)68.68% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Real Salt Lake 57%
    Portland Timbers 21.37%
    Draw 21.63%
Real Salt LakeDrawPortland Timbers
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 8.8% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.71% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.52% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.75% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 3.23% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.85% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.83% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.28% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.13% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 57%
1-1 @ 9.98% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.6% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.45% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.63%
1-2 @ 5.65% (0.024 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.04% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.86% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.14% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.08% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 21.37%

Head to Head
Sep 22, 2024 2.30am
Salt Lake
3-3
Portland
Marczuk (10'), Luna (22'), Goncalves (90')
Katranis (72')
Antony (62'), Evander (76'), Rodriguez (90+2')
Williamson (48'), Miller (55'), Evander (57')
> Preview
Jul 14, 2024 3.25am
Portland
3-0
Salt Lake
Mora (3'), Moreno (48'), Evander (90')
Chara (7'), Rodriguez (8'), Mora (23')

Arango (23'), Gomez (23'), Ojeda (37'), Crooks (56'), Luna (63'), Bravo (86')
> Preview
Aug 31, 2023 3.30am
Portland
2-1
Salt Lake
Moreno (13'), Mora (64')
Chara (34'), Asprilla (90+3'), Bingham (90+5')
Arango (83')
Mastroeni (35'), Ojeda (45+1'), Vera (86')
> Preview
May 18, 2023 4.12am
Salt Lake
0-0
Portland
Eneli (45+1')
Boli (72')
> Preview
Oct 9, 2022 10pm
Salt Lake
3-1
Portland
Savarino (19'), Rubin (48'), Davis (82')
Asprilla (87')
> Preview