Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 78.89%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 6.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.62%) and 3-0 (12.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.82%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (2.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
